Earnings results often indicate what direction a company will take in the months ahead. With Q4 behind us, let’s have a look at Texas Pacific Land (NYSE: TPL) and its peers.

US shale oil producers extract crude from tight rock formations using horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing (fracking) techniques, primarily in basins like the Permian, Bakken, and Eagle Ford. Tailwinds include short-cycle investment flexibility allowing rapid production adjustments, technological improvements enhancing well productivity, and proximity to refining and export infrastructure. Capital discipline has improved financial returns. Headwinds include commodity price sensitivity affecting drilling economics, accelerating well decline rates requiring continuous capital investment, and increasing regulatory and ESG scrutiny. Water usage, induced seismicity concerns, and evolving environmental regulations present ongoing operational challenges.

The 11 u.s. shale e&p stocks we track reported a mixed Q4. As a group, revenues beat analysts’ consensus estimates by 2.2%.

Luckily, u.s. shale e&p stocks have performed well with share prices up 18.1% on average since the latest earnings results.

Texas Pacific Land (NYSE: TPL)

One of America's largest private landowners with roughly 868,000 acres in the Permian Basin, Texas Pacific Land (NYSE: TPL) owns land in West Texas and earns revenue from oil and gas royalties, water services, and land leases.

Texas Pacific Land reported revenues of $211.6 million, up 13.9% year on year. This print exceeded analysts’ expectations by 2.4%. Despite the top-line beat, it was still a mixed quarter for the company with a decent beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates but a significant miss of analysts’ EPS estimates.

“Fourth quarter 2025 represents an excellent finish to a record year for TPL,” said Tyler Glover, Chief Executive Officer of the Company.

Interestingly, the stock is up 4.9% since reporting and currently trades at $462.50.

Is now the time to buy Texas Pacific Land? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Best Q4: Matador Resources (NYSE: MTDR)

Operating primarily in the Delaware Basin where multiple oil-bearing layers lie stacked thousands of feet deep, Matador Resources (NYSE: MTDR) explores for, drills, and produces oil and natural gas from underground rock formations in New Mexico and Texas.

Matador Resources reported revenues of $848 million, down 12.6% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 4.7%. The business had a stunning quarter with a solid beat of analysts’ EBITDA and EPS estimates.

The market seems happy with the results as the stock is up 28.4% since reporting. It currently trades at $64.89.

Is now the time to buy Matador Resources? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Weakest Q4: HighPeak Energy (NASDAQ: HPK)

Operating in the oil-rich northeastern corner of the Midland Basin where Howard and Borden counties meet, HighPeak Energy (NASDAQ: HPK) explores for, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas.

HighPeak Energy reported revenues of $216.6 million, down 23.3% year on year, exceeding analysts’ expectations by 13.7%. Still, it was a softer quarter as it posted a significant miss of analysts’ EBITDA estimates and a significant miss of analysts’ EPS estimates.

HighPeak Energy delivered the biggest analyst estimates beat but had the slowest revenue growth in the group. Interestingly, the stock is up 30.6% since the results and currently trades at $7.64.

Read our full analysis of HighPeak Energy’s results here.

Northern Oil and Gas (NYSE: NOG)

Taking the path less traveled in the oil industry by choosing not to operate its own wells, Northern Oil and Gas (NYSE: NOG) acquires minority stakes in oil and gas wells operated by other companies across major U.S. shale basins.

Northern Oil and Gas reported revenues of $523.8 million, down 8.9% year on year. This print beat analysts’ expectations by 1.6%. Aside from that, it was a slower quarter as it recorded a significant miss of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

The stock is up 13% since reporting and currently trades at $29.91.

Read our full, actionable report on Northern Oil and Gas here, it’s free.

Permian Resources (NYSE: PR)

Controlling roughly 450,000 net acres in America's most productive oil patch, Permian Resources (NYSE: PR) is an oil and natural gas producer that drills wells and extracts hydrocarbons from underground reservoirs in West Texas and New Mexico.

Permian Resources reported revenues of $1.17 billion, down 9.8% year on year. This result came in 7.4% below analysts' expectations. Aside from that, it was a satisfactory quarter as it recorded a beat of analysts’ EPS estimates.

The stock is up 22.3% since reporting and currently trades at $21.53.

Read our full, actionable report on Permian Resources here, it’s free.

Market Update

Late in 2025 into early 2026, there was hand wringing around artificial intelligence. For software companies, the fear was that AI would erode pricing power and compress margins as new tools made it easier to replicate what once required expensive enterprise platforms. Crypto investors had their own version of the same anxiety: if AI agents could trade, allocate capital, and manage wallets autonomously, what exactly was the long-term value of today’s crypto infrastructure?

These concerns triggered a noticeable rotation away from these sectors and into safer havens. But markets rarely dwell on one narrative for long. Spring 2026 came, and the focus shifted abruptly from technological disruption to geopolitical risk. The US’ conflict with Iran became the dominant driver of market psychology, and when geopolitics takes center stage, the script changes quickly. Investors stop debating growth rates and start worrying about oil supply, inflation, and global stability.

Want to invest in winners with rock-solid fundamentals? Check out our Top 6 Stocks and add them to your watchlist. These companies are poised for growth regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate.