2 Reasons to Like COHR (and 1 Not So Much)

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COHR Cover Image

Coherent has been on fire lately. In the past six months alone, the company’s stock price has rocketed 121%, reaching $424.35 per share. This was partly due to its solid quarterly results, and the performance may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.

Is now still a good time to buy COHR? Or are investors being too optimistic? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Does Coherent Spark Debate?

Created through the 2022 rebranding of II-VI Incorporated, a company with roots dating back to 1971, Coherent (NYSE: COHR) develops and manufactures advanced materials, lasers, and optical components for applications ranging from telecommunications to industrial manufacturing.

Two Positive Attributes:

1. Skyrocketing Revenue Shows Strong Momentum

A company’s long-term performance is an indicator of its overall quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years. Luckily, Coherent’s sales grew at an incredible 16.7% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. Its growth surpassed the average business services company and shows its offerings resonate with customers.

Coherent Quarterly Revenue

2. EPS Surges Higher Over the Last Two Years

Although long-term earnings trends give us the big picture, we like to analyze EPS over a shorter period to see if we are missing a change in the business.

Coherent’s EPS grew at an astounding 82.4% compounded annual growth rate over the last two years, higher than its 19.8% annualized revenue growth. This tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Coherent Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

One Reason to Be Careful:

Free Cash Flow Margin Dropping

Free cash flow isn’t a prominently featured metric in company financials and earnings releases, but we think it’s telling because it accounts for all operating and capital expenses, making it tough to manipulate. Cash is king.

As you can see below, Coherent’s margin dropped by 13.3 percentage points over the last five years. If the trend continues, it could signal it’s in the middle of a big investment cycle. Coherent’s free cash flow margin for the trailing 12 months was negative 8.2%.

Coherent Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

Final Judgment

Coherent’s positive characteristics outweigh the negatives, and with the recent surge, the stock trades at 52.3× forward P/E (or $424.35 per share). Is now a good time to buy despite the apparent froth? See for yourself in our in-depth research report, it’s free.

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