2 Reasons to Like AMZN (and 1 Not So Much)

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AMZN Cover Image

Amazon trades at $249.45 and has moved in lockstep with the market. Its shares have returned 7.8% over the last six months while the S&P 500 has gained 8.4%.

Is now a good time to buy AMZN? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Does Amazon Spark Debate?

Founded by Jeff Bezos after quitting his stock-picking job at D.E. Shaw, Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) is the world’s largest online retailer and provider of cloud computing services.

Two Positive Attributes:

1. Skyrocketing Revenue Shows Strong Momentum

Amazon proves that huge, scaled companies can still grow quickly. The company’s revenue base of $419.1 billion five years ago has increased to $742.8 billion in the last year, translating into an excellent 12.1% annualized growth rate.

Over the same period, Amazon’s big tech peers Alphabet, Microsoft, and Apple put up annualized growth rates of 16.5%, 14.8%, and 6.8%, respectively. Quarterly Revenue of Big Tech Companies

2. Outstanding Long-Term EPS Growth

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) because it shows whether a company’s growth is profitable. It also explains how taxes and interest expenses affect the bottom line.

Amazon’s EPS grew at 26.1% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, higher than its 12.1% annualized revenue growth. This tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Amazon Trailing 12-Month EPS (GAAP)

One Reason to Be Careful:

Mediocre Free Cash Flow Margin Limits Reinvestment Potential

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills or invest for the future.

Amazon has shown poor cash profitability relative to peers over the last five years, giving the company fewer opportunities to return capital to shareholders. Its free cash flow margin averaged 1.9%, below what we’d expect for a consumer internet business.

Amazon Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

Final Judgment

Amazon’s merits more than compensate for its flaws. At $249.45 per share (or 29.5× forward price-to-earnings), is now the time to initiate a position? See for yourself in our full research report, it’s free.

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