2 Reasons to Watch CNX and 1 to Stay Cautious

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CNX Cover Image

Over the past six months, CNX Resources’s shares (currently trading at $33.32) have posted a disappointing 9.9% loss, well below the S&P 500’s 7.8% gain. This might have investors contemplating their next move.

Following the pullback, is now the time to buy CNX? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Does CNX Stock Spark Debate?

Tracing back to operations that began in 1860, CNX Resources (NYSE: CNX) drills for and produces natural gas from underground shale formations in Pennsylvania, Ohio, and West Virginia.

Two Positive Attributes:

1. Elite Gross Margin Powers Best-In-Class Business Model

While energy gross margins can be distorted by commodity prices, hedging, and short-term cost swings, sustained margins across a full cycle reflect a producer’s underlying asset quality, infrastructure position, and cost structure.

CNX Resources, which averaged 68.9% gross margin over the last five years, exhibits impressive unit economics in the sector. It means the company will remain profitable at lower commodity prices than peers with inferior gross margins and serves as an excellent starting point for ultimate operating profits and free cash flow generation.

CNX Resources Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin

2. Excellent Free Cash Flow Margin Boosts Reinvestment Potential

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

CNX Resources has shown terrific cash profitability, driven by its lucrative business model that enables it to reinvest, return capital to investors, and stay ahead of the competition. The company’s free cash flow margin was among the best in the energy upstream and integrated energy sector, averaging 22.8% over the last five years.

CNX Resources Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

One Reason to Be Careful:

Long-Term Revenue Growth Disappoints

A company’s long-term performance can give signals about its business quality. Even a bad business, especially in a cyclical industry, can shine for a year or so, but a top-tier one should exhibit resilience through cycles. Unfortunately, CNX Resources’s 8% annualized revenue growth over the last five years was tepid. This wasn’t a great result compared to the rest of the energy upstream and integrated energy sector, but there are still things to like about CNX Resources.

CNX Resources Quarterly Revenue

Final Judgment

CNX Resources’s merits more than compensate for its flaws. With the recent decline, the stock trades at 11.9× forward P/E (or $33.32 per share). Is now the time to initiate a position? See for yourself in our full research report, it’s free.

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