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Vulcan Materials (VMC): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q1 Earnings?

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VMC Cover Image

Vulcan Materials currently trades at $294.89 per share and has shown little upside over the past six months, posting a middling return of 0.8%. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 8.5% gain during that period.

Given the weaker price action, is now a good time to buy VMC? Or should investors expect a bumpy road ahead? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Does Vulcan Materials Spark Debate?

Founded in 1909, Vulcan Materials (NYSE: VMC) is a producer of construction aggregates, primarily crushed stone, sand, and gravel.

Two Positive Attributes:

1. Skyrocketing Revenue Shows Strong Momentum

A company’s long-term sales performance can indicate its overall quality. Any business can experience short-term success, but top-performing ones enjoy sustained growth for years. Thankfully, Vulcan Materials’s 10.6% annualized revenue growth over the last five years was impressive. Its growth surpassed the average industrials company and shows its offerings resonate with customers.

Vulcan Materials Quarterly Revenue

2. Increasing Free Cash Flow Margin Juices Financials

Free cash flow isn’t a prominently featured metric in company financials and earnings releases, but we think it’s telling because it accounts for all operating and capital expenses, making it tough to manipulate. Cash is king.

As you can see below, Vulcan Materials’s margin expanded by 5.4 percentage points over the last five years. This is encouraging because it gives the company more optionality. Vulcan Materials’s free cash flow margin for the trailing 12 months was 13.8%.

Vulcan Materials Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

One Reason to Be Careful:

Weak Growth in Tons Shipped Points to Soft Demand

Revenue growth can be broken down into changes in price and volume (for companies like Vulcan Materials, our preferred volume metric is tons shipped). While both are important, the latter is the most critical to analyze because prices have a ceiling.

Vulcan Materials’s tons shipped came in at 50 million in the latest quarter, and over the last two years, averaged 2.4% year-on-year growth. This performance was underwhelming and suggests it might have to lower prices or invest in product improvements to accelerate growth, factors that can hinder near-term profitability. Vulcan Materials Tons Shipped

Final Judgment

Vulcan Materials’s merits more than compensate for its flaws. With its shares lagging the market recently, the stock trades at 32.2× forward P/E (or $294.89 per share). Is now the right time to buy? See for yourself in our comprehensive research report, it’s free.

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