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Henry Schein (HSIC): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q2 Earnings?

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Henry Schein trades at $86.39 and has moved in lockstep with the market. Its shares have returned 18.8% over the last six months while the S&P 500 has gained 21.4%.

Is now the time to buy Henry Schein, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? See what our analysts have to say in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Is Henry Schein Not Exciting?

We’re cautious about Henry Schein. Here are three reasons you should be careful with HSIC, plus one stock we’d rather own.

1. Slow Organic Growth Suggests Waning Demand In Core Business

We can better understand Dental Equipment & Technology companies by analyzing their organic revenue. This metric gives visibility into Henry Schein’s core business because it excludes one-time events such as mergers, acquisitions, and divestitures along with foreign currency fluctuations - non-fundamental factors that can manipulate the income statement.

Over the last two years, Henry Schein’s organic revenue averaged 2.9% year-on-year growth. This performance slightly lagged the sector and suggests it may need to improve its products, pricing, or go-to-market strategy, which can add an extra layer of complexity to its operations. Henry Schein Organic Revenue Growth

2. EPS Barely Growing

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) because it highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

Henry Schein’s unimpressive 3.9% annual EPS growth over the last five years aligns with its revenue performance. This tells us it maintained its per-share profitability as it expanded.

Henry Schein Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

3. New Investments Fail to Bear Fruit as ROIC Declines

ROIC, or return on invested capital, is a metric showing how much operating profit a company generates relative to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Unfortunately, Henry Schein’s ROIC has decreased over the last few years. We like what management has done in the past, but its declining returns are perhaps a symptom of fewer profitable growth opportunities.

Henry Schein Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

Final Judgment

Henry Schein isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our quality test. That said, the stock currently trades at 15.1× forward P/E (or $86.39 per share). While this valuation is fair, the upside isn’t great compared to the potential downside. We’re pretty confident there are superior stocks to buy right now. We’d recommend looking at the Amazon and PayPal of Latin America.

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