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The past six months have been a windfall for Lattice Semiconductor’s shareholders. The company’s stock price has jumped 77.2%, setting a new 52-week high of $122.50 per share. This was partly thanks to its solid quarterly results, and the run-up might have investors contemplating their next move.
Is now the time to buy Lattice Semiconductor, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Check out our in-depth research report to see what our analysts have to say, it’s free.
Why Is Lattice Semiconductor Not Exciting?
Despite the momentum, we're cautious about Lattice Semiconductor. Here are three reasons we avoid LSCC and a stock we'd rather own.
1. Revenue Tumbling Downwards
Long-term growth is the most important, but short-term results matter for semiconductors because the rapid pace of technological innovation (Moore's Law) could make yesterday's hit product obsolete today. Lattice Semiconductor’s performance shows it grew in the past but relinquished its gains over the last two years, as its revenue fell by 15.7% annually. ![]()
2. Shrinking Operating Margin
Operating margin is one of the best measures of profitability because it tells us how much money a company takes home after procuring and manufacturing its products, marketing and selling those products, and most importantly, keeping them relevant through research and development.
Analyzing the trend in its profitability, Lattice Semiconductor’s operating margin decreased by 17.4 percentage points over the last five years. This raises questions about the company’s expense base because its revenue growth should have given it leverage on its fixed costs, resulting in better economies of scale and profitability. Lattice Semiconductor’s performance was poor no matter how you look at it - it shows that costs were rising and it couldn’t pass them onto its customers. Its operating margin for the trailing 12 months was 2.1%.
3. Free Cash Flow Margin Dropping
If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.
As you can see below, Lattice Semiconductor’s margin dropped by 5.3 percentage points over the last five years. Continued declines could signal it is in the middle of an investment cycle. Lattice Semiconductor’s free cash flow margin for the trailing 12 months was 25.3%.
Final Judgment
Lattice Semiconductor isn’t a terrible business, but it isn’t one of our picks. Following the recent rally, the stock trades at 73.7× forward P/E (or $122.50 per share). This multiple tells us a lot of good news is priced in - we think other companies feature superior fundamentals at the moment. We’d recommend looking at our favorite semiconductor picks and shovels play.
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