SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
 

 
FORM 6-K
 

 
Report of Foreign Issuer
 
Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16 of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
 
Report on Form 6-K dated for the month of February, 2009
 

 
Copa Holdings, S.A.
(Translation of Registrant's Name Into English)
 

 
Boulevard Costa del Este, Avenida Principal y Avenida de la Rotonda
Urbanización Costa del Este
Complejo Business Park, Torre Norte
Parque Lefevre
Panama City, Panama
 (Address of principal executive offices)
 

 
(Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F.)
 
Form 20-F x    Form 40-F ¨
 
(Indicate by check whether the registrant by furnishing the information contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.)
 
Yes ¨     No x
 
(If “Yes” is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to the registrant in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b);82- _______)
 

 Enclosure: Press Release - Copa Holdings Reports Net Income of US$51.9 Million for the Fourth Quarter of 2008 and US$152.2 Million for Full Year 2008



SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, hereunto duly authorized.
 
 
Copa Holdings, S.A.
 
  (Registrant)
   
Date: 02/19/2009
 
 
By:
/s/ Victor Vial
 
 
Name:  Victor Vial
 
Title:     CFO
 

 
Copa Holdings Reports Net Income of US$51.9 Million for the Fourth Quarter of 2008 and US$152.2 Million for Full Year 2008

Panama City, Panama — February 19, 2009.  Copa Holdings, S.A. (NYSE: CPA), parent company of Copa Airlines and Aero Republica, today announced financial results for the fourth quarter of 2008 (4Q08) and full year 2008. The terms “Copa Holdings" or "the Company" refers to the consolidated entity, whose operating subsidiaries are Copa Airlines and Aero Republica. The following financial and operating information, unless otherwise indicated, is presented in accordance with US GAAP.  Unless otherwise stated, all comparisons with prior periods refer to the fourth quarter of 2007 (4Q07).

OPERATING AND FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

·
Copa Holdings reported net income of US$51.9 million for 4Q08 or diluted earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.20, as compared to net income of US$35.5 million or diluted EPS of US$0.82 in 4Q07.  Excluding special items, which for 4Q08 include a US$12.2 million non-cash charge associated with the mark-to-market of fuel hedge contracts, Copa Holdings would have reported an adjusted net income of $64.1 million, or $1.48 per share.  See the accompanying reconciliation of non-GAAP financial information to GAAP financial information included in financial tables section of this earnings release.

·
Net income for full year 2008 reached US$152.2 million or diluted EPS of US$3.50, compared to US$161.8 million or diluted EPS of US$3.72 for full year 2007.  Excluding special items, which for 2008 include a US$20.2 million non-cash charge associated with the mark-to-market of fuel hedge contracts, Copa Holdings would have reported an adjusted net income of $172.4 million, or $3.97 per share.

·
The company reported record operating income for 4Q08, reaching US$84.0 million, a 95.5% increase compared to operating income of US$43.0 million recorded in 4Q07. Operating margin increased 9.2 percentage points, from 15.1% in 4Q07 to 24.3% in 4Q08, mainly due higher unit revenues.

·
The Company reported operating income of US$224.0 million for full year 2008, a 13.4% increase as compared to operating income of US$197.5 million in 2007. Operating margin for 2008 reached 17.4%, one of the best margins in the airline industry.

·
Total revenues for 4Q08 increased 21.6% to US$346.1 million. Yield per passenger mile increased 6.0% to 18.5 cents and operating revenue per available seat mile (RASM) increased 5.8% to 14.6 cents.

·
For 4Q08 consolidated passenger traffic grew 15.5% while capacity increased 15.0%.  As a result, consolidated load factor for the quarter increased 0.3 percentage points to 74.1%.

·
Operating cost per available seat mile (CASM) decreased 5.7%, from 11.7 cents in 4Q07 to 11.0 cents in 4Q08.  CASM, excluding fuel costs and special items, decreased 5.4% from 7.6 cents in 4Q07 to 7.2 cents in 4Q08, mainly due to lower average commissions.

·
The company ended the year with a strong cash position, totaling US$408.1 million in cash, short term and long term investment, which represent approximately 32% of last twelve months´ revenues.  This figure includes US$47.3 million in restricted cash, of which $39.7 million are collateral for out-of-money hedge contracts related to future quarters.  Additionally, the company has committed lines of credit totaling $31.1 million.

·
In 4Q08, Copa Airlines began service to three new destinations:  Oranjestad (Aruba), Valencia (Venezuela) and Santa Cruz (Bolivia). Copa Airlines´ network currently serves 45 destinations in 24 countries in the Americas – by far, the most extensive network for intra-Latin American travel.

·
During the fourth quarter, Copa Airlines took delivery of two Embraer-190 aircraft.  Copa Airlines ended the year with a fleet of 42 aircraft, consisting of 27 Boeing 737 Next Generation aircraft and 15 Embraer-190 aircraft. Copa Holdings ended the year with a consolidated fleet of 55 aircraft.

·
For 2008, Copa Airlines reported on-time performance of 87.5% and a flight-completion factor of 99.6%, maintaining its position among the best in the industry.  Additionally, Aero Republica’s on- time performance came in at 84.2%, leading the Colombian market both in domestic and international on-time performance.
 

 
 
Consolidated Financial &
Operating Highlights
   
4Q08
   
Variance
vs. 4Q07
   
Variance
vs. 3Q08
   
FY 2008
   
Variance
vs. 2007
 
RPMs (millions)
    1,760       15.5 %     -1.1 %     6,717       14.6 %
ASMs (mm)
    2,375       15.0 %     3.3 %     8,845       11.7 %
Load Factor
    74.1 %  
0.3 p.p.
   
-3.3 p.p.
      75.9 %  
1.9 p.p.
 
Yield
    18.5       6.0 %     -0.3 %     18.1       9.8 %
PRASM (cents)
    13.7       6.5 %     -4.5 %     13.8       12.7 %
RASM (cents)
    14.6       5.8 %     -4.0 %     14.6       12.3 %
CASM (cents)
    11.0       -5.7 %     -13.1 %     12.0       14.9 %
Adjusted CASM (cents) (1)
    11.0       -3.1 %     -13.1 %     12.0       14.7 %
Adjusted CASM Excl. Fuel (cents) (1)
    7.2       -5.4 %     -1.2 %     7.5       4.6 %
Breakeven Load Factor
    56.9 %  
-4.1 p.p.
   
-7.6 p.p.
      63.0 %  
8.5 p.p.
 
Operating Revenues (US$ mm)
    346.1       21.6 %     -0.8 %     1,288.8       25.5 %
EBITDAR (US$ mm) (2)
    94.0       30.2 %     47.0 %     301.0       2.4 %
Adjusted EBITDAR (US$ mm) (2)(3)
    106.1       44.3 %     33.7 %     321.2       13.0 %
EBITDAR Margin (2)
    27.1 %  
1.8 p.p.
   
8.8 p.p.
      23.4 %  
-5.3 p.p.
 
Adjusted EBITDAR Margin (2)(3)
    30.7 %  
4.8 p.p.
   
7.9 p.p.
      24.9 %  
-2.7 p.p.
 
Operating Income (US$ mm)
    84.0       95.5 %     47.3 %     224.0       13.4 %
Adjusted Operating Income (US$ mm)(1)
    84.0       70.5 %     47.3 %     224.0       13.8 %
Operating Margin
    24.3 %  
9.2 p.p.
   
7.9 p.p.
      17.4 %  
-1.8 p.p.
 
Adjusted Operating Margin (1)
    24.3 %  
7.0 p.p.
   
7.9 p.p.
      17.4 %  
-1.8 p.p.
 
Net Income (US$ mm)
    51.9       46.1 %     71.1 %     152.2       -6.0 %
Adjusted Net Income (US$ mm) (3)
    64.1       73.7 %     39.8 %     172.4       13.4 %
EPS - Basic (US$)
    1.20       45.3 %     71.1 %     3.53       -6.5 %
Adjusted EPS - Basic (US$) (3)
    1.48       72.7 %     39.8 %     4.00       12.8 %
EPS - Diluted (US$)
    1.20       46.1 %     71.4 %     3.50       -5.9 %
Adjusted EPS - Diluted (US$) (3)
    1.48       73.6 %     40.1 %     3.97       13.4 %
Weighted Avg. # of Shares - Basic (000)
    43,195       0.6 %     0.0 %     43,143       0.5 %
Weighted Avg. # of Shares - Diluted (000)
    43,426       0.1 %     -0.1 %     43,440       -0.1 %

1)  Adjusted Operating Income and Adjusted CASM exclude for full year 2007 a US$8.0 million pre-tax non-recurring gain related to insurance proceeds in excess of aircraft book value and special charges of US$6.3 million for 4Q07and  US$7.3 million for full year 2007 related to the early termination of MD-80 aircraft leases as a result of Aero Republica’s ongoing transition to an all EMBRAER-190 fleet.
(2) EBITDAR means earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization and rent.
(3) Adjusted EBITDAR, Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EPS (Basic and Diluted):  a) Excludes for full year 2007 a US$8.0 million pre-tax non-recurring gain related to insurance proceeds in excess of aircraft book value and special charges of US$6.3 million for 4Q07 and US$7.3 million for full year 2007 related to the early termination of MD-80 aircraft leases as a result of Aero Republica’s ongoing transition to an all EMBRAER-190 fleet and b) Excludes non-cash charges/gains associated with the mark-to-market of fuel hedges.
Note:  Attached to this press release is a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the comparable US GAAP measures.
 
MANAGEMENT’S COMMENTS ON 4Q08 RESULTS
 
Copa Holdings fourth quarter results were positively impacted by strong underlying demand, a favorable pricing environment and a reduction in fuel costs. For 4Q08 the company reported record operating income of US$84.0 million, a 95.5% increase over 4Q07.  Operating margin increased 9.2 percentage points from 15.1% to 24.3%, maintaining its position as one of the most profitable airlines in the world. Excluding special items recorded in 4Q07, operating income increased 70.5% year-over-year.

2

 
 
Total revenues increased 21.6% during the quarter, significantly outpacing capacity expansion of 15.0%, which resulted in a 5.8% increase in revenues per ASM (RASM) from 13.8 cents to 14.6 cents.  Passenger revenues, which represented 94% of total revenues, increased 22.4% to US$325.9 million, due to a 15.0% increase in capacity and a 6.5% increase in passenger revenue per ASM (PRASM).  The latter was driven by a 6.0% increase in yield and a 0.3 percentage point increase in consolidated load factor from 73.8% to 74.1%.

In 4Q08, Copa Airlines’ yields came in at 17.4 cents, representing an increase of 7.2% compared to 4Q07 and 1.7% compared to 3Q08.  Copa Airlines yields increased mainly as a result of strong demand and revenue management initiatives that resulted in higher average fares.  Aero Republica’s yields increased 5.2% to 25.0 cents.

Consolidated operating expenses for 4Q08 increased 8.5% to US$262.0 million, while consolidated operating expenses per ASM (CASM) decreased 5.7% to 11.0 cents.  Excluding fuel costs and special items, unit costs decreased 5.4% to 7.2 cents, mostly as a result of lower average commissions.

Aircraft fuel expense increased 16.6% or US$13.0 million compared to 4Q07.  Of this increase, US$3.9 million resulted from a 4.5% increase in the Company’s effective jet fuel price which increased from an average of US$2.61 in 4Q07 to US$2.73 in 4Q08. 

For 4Q08, the Company had fuel hedges in place representing 25% of its consolidated volume.  Continuing with the execution of its fuel hedge policy, for 2009 and 2010, the Company currently has hedged approximately 25% and 5% of its consolidated volume, respectively.  Hedging instruments include jet fuel swaps, crude oil swaps and zero-cost collars.

The Company recorded a non-operating expense of US$22.9 million for 4Q08 compared to a US$2.4 million non-operating expense in 4Q07.  This expense resulted mainly from the mark-to-market of fuel hedge contracts which for 4Q08 resulted in an unrealized loss of US$12.2 million, as compared to an unrealized gain of US$4.9 million in 4Q07.

Copa Holdings closed the year with a strong cash position totaling US$408.1 million in cash, short term and long term investment, which represent approximately 32% of last twelve months´ revenues.  This figure includes US$47.3 million in restricted cash, of which $39.7 million are collateral for out-of-money hedge contracts related to future quarters.  Additionally, the company has committed lines of credit totaling $31.1 million. Debt at the end of the year totaled US$916.0 million, most of which relates to aircraft and equipment financing.  

In 2009, the Company now expects to receive five aircraft, three purchased Boeing 737-800s for Copa Airlines and two leased Embraer-190s for Aero Republica. Related to the purchased 737-800s, the Company has already secured final commitment from US EXIM Bank and arranged financing for one aircraft which was delivered this month.  For the remaining two purchased 737-800s, the Company has secured preliminary commitments from US EXIM Bank.

For 4Q08, Aero Republica recorded operating income of US$13.6 million, compared to operating income, excluding special items, of US$7.0 million in 4Q07.  Operating margin for 4Q08 came in at 19.7% compared to an adjusted operating margin of 10.8% in 4Q07.  For full year 2008, and despite significant incremental costs related to fuel and maintenance of the airlines remaining MD-80 fleet, Aero Republica recorded a 5.9% operating margin.

3

 
 
Aero Republica continues to benefit from its international expansion and fleet transition strategy aimed at replacing its MD-80 fleet with modern and fuel efficient Embraer-190 aircraft.  For 4Q08, Aero Republica’s capacity, in terms of ASMs flown in Embraer-190 aircraft as a percentage of its total capacity, increased from 35% in 4Q07 to 63% in 4Q08. 

Additionally, as part of its international expansion, Aero Republica’s international capacity increased nearly 80% year-over-year, reaching 25% of total capacity during 4Q08, as compared to 14% in 4Q07.  Furthermore, according to the latest statistics from Colombia’s Civil Aeronautics Authority (Aerocivil), for 2008 Aero Republica had increased its international passenger market share to 7.3%, up from 4.4% in 2007.

Copa Holdings’ fourth quarter and full year results for 2008 highlight the Company’s ability to operate profitably and grow in a challenging environment.  In 2009, Copa Airlines’ capacity is expected to grow approximately 17%, mostly as a result of the full year effect of capacity introduced during the course of 2008. At the same time, Aero Republica’s capacity growth will remain flat to slightly up as the airline continues its transition to all Embraer-190 fleet.  This should result in a consolidated capacity growth of approximately 13%.  Copa Holdings year end 2009 consolidated fleet is expected to end at 54 aircraft.

Copa Holdings continues to deliver industry leading results, despite negative factors that have affected the industry as a whole.  This is the result of a solid and well executed business model based on developing the most comprehensive and convenient network for intra Latin America travel.  In 2009, the Company will seek to continue strengthening its long term competitive position, with the advantage of maintaining a flexible fleet plan and a strong balance sheet and liquidity position.

OUTLOOK FOR 2009

Copa Holdings’ 2009 updated guidance calls for consolidated capacity growth of approximately 13%, mainly as a result of the full year effect of capacity introduced in 2008.  Load factors are expected to come in at approximately 74%, below 2008 levels, while unit revenues (RASM) are forecasted to decline approximately 14% mainly as a result of a decrease in fuel surcharges and slower traffic growth as a result of a weakening economic environment.  Unit costs excluding fuel are expected to remain flat at 7.5 cents.  The estimated effective price of jet fuel, including the effect of current hedge contracts and into plane costs for 2009, is US$2.11 per gallon.  As a result, the Company still maintains its operating margin guidance in the range of 16.0% to 18.0% for 2009, although now it expects to come in at the high end of this range.

Financial Outlook (US GAAP) 
 
2009 - Full Year
 
ASMs (billion)
    +/-10.0  
Average Load Factor
    +/-74 %
RASM (cents)
    +/-12.6  
CASM Ex-fuel (cents)
    +/- 7.5  
Operating Margin
    16.0-18.0 %

4

 
 
CONSOLIDATED FOURTH QUARTER RESULTS

Operating revenue

Consolidated revenue for 4Q08 totaled US$346.1 million, a 21.6% or US$61.5 million increase over operating revenue of US$284.6 million in 4Q07, mainly due to a 25.5% or US$56.7 million increase in Copa Airlines’ operating revenue and a 6.2% or US$4.0 million increase in Aero Republica’s operating revenue.

Copa Airlines operating revenue

Copa Airlines operating revenue for 4Q08 totaled US$278.9 million, a 25.5% increase over operating revenue of US$222.2 million in 4Q07.  This increase was primarily due to a 26.3% or US$54.4 million increase in passenger revenue.

Passenger revenue. For 4Q08 passenger revenue totaled US$261.6 million, a 26.3% increase over passenger revenue of US$207.1 million in 4Q07 as ASMs increased by 18.2% in 4Q08 as compared to 4Q07.  Passenger yield increased 7.2% to 17.4 cents, while load factor came in at 75.9% in 4Q08, a slight decrease from the 76.1% produced in 4Q07.
Cargo, mail and other. Cargo, mail and other revenue totaled US$17.3 million in 4Q08, a 15.1% increase over cargo, mail and other of US$15.0 million in 4Q07.

Aero Republica operating revenue

During 4Q08, Aero Republica generated operating revenue of US$68.9 million, representing a 6.2% increase over 4Q07.  This increase resulted mainly from a US$5.2 million or 8.8% increase in passenger revenue.  During the quarter Aero Republica’s capacity (ASMs) increased by 1.0% mainly as a result of the down-gauge from an MD-80 fleet to an Embraer-190 fleet, while traffic (RPMs) increased 3.4%, resulting in a load factor of 65.0% or 1.5 percentage points above 4Q07.  Yields increased by 5.2% primarily due to higher domestic and international fares.

Operating expenses

For 4Q08, consolidated operating expenses rose 8.5% to US$262.0 million, representing operating cost per available seat mile (CASM) of 11.0 cents.  Operating cost per available seat mile (CASM), excluding fuel costs and special items, decreased 5.4% from 7.6 cents in 4Q07 to 7.2 cents in 4Q08.  An overview of the major variances on a consolidated basis follows:

Aircraft fuel. For 4Q08, aircraft fuel totaled US$91.4 million, a US$13.0 million or 16.6% increase over aircraft fuel of US$78.4 million in 4Q07. This increase was primarily a result of a 13.1% increase in gallons consumed resulting from increased capacity and a 4.5% increase in the average price per gallon of jet fuel (all-in), which averaged US$2.73 in 4Q08 as compared to US$2.61 in 4Q07.
Salaries and benefits. For 4Q08, salaries and benefits totaled US$37.5 million, a 16.6% increase over salaries and benefits of US$32.2 million in 4Q07. This increase was mostly a result of an overall increase in operating headcount to support additional capacity.
Passenger servicing. For 4Q08, passenger servicing totaled US$26.3 million, a 14.0% increase over passenger servicing of US$23.1 million in 4Q07. This increase was primarily a result of an increase in passengers carried.
Commissions. For 4Q08, commissions totaled US$14.8 million, a 20.1% decrease over commissions of US$18.5 million in 4Q07. This increase was primarily a result of lower average commission rates in both Copa Airlines and Aero Republica.
 
5

 
 
Reservations and sales. Reservations and sales totaled US$13.2 million, a 9.5% increase over reservation and sales of US$12.0 million in 4Q07.  This increase was primarily a result of more passengers carried by Copa Airlines.
Maintenance, material and repairs. For 4Q08, maintenance, material and repairs totaled US$17.7 million, a 32.6% increase over maintenance, material and repairs of US$13.4 million in 4Q07. This increase was primarily a result of higher capacity, and more repairs and materials.
Depreciation. Depreciation totaled US$11.3 million in 4Q08, a 15.3% increase over depreciation of US$9.8 million in 4Q07. This increase was primarily related to the depreciation of new aircraft and spares.
Aircraft Rentals. Aircraft rentals totaled US$10.1 million in 4Q08, a 4.0% increase over aircraft rentals of US$9.7 million in 4Q07.
Flight operations, landing fees and other rentals. Combined, flight operations, landing fees and other rentals increased 14.8% from US$20.0 million in 4Q07 to US$23.0 million in 4Q08, primarily as a result of increased capacity.
Other. Other expenses totaled US$16.8 million in 4Q08, a decrease of US$1.5 million.
Special fleet charges.  During 4Q07 we registered a US$6.3 million charge related to the accrual of costs associated with terms negotiated for the early termination of three MD-80 aircraft as a result of Aero Republica’s ongoing transition to a more fuel efficient all EMBRAER-190 fleet.

Copa Airlines operating expenses

Copa Airlines’ operating expenses increased 15.9% to US$208.4 million from US$179.9 million in 4Q07.  Operating expenses per available seat mile decreased 2.0% to 10.5 cents in 4Q08 from 10.7 cents in 4Q07.  Excluding fuel costs, operating expenses per available seat mile decreased 4.8% from 7.2 cents in 4Q07 to 6.8 cents in 4Q08.

Aircraft fuel. For 4Q08, aircraft fuel totaled US$73.5 million, a 22.5% increase over aircraft fuel expense of US$60.0 million in the same period in 2007. This increase was primarily a result of a 17.5% increase in gallons consumed resulting from increased capacity and a 6.2% increase in the average price per gallon of jet fuel (all-in), which averaged US$2.73 in 4Q08 as compared to US$2.56 in 4Q07.
Salaries and benefits. For 4Q08, salaries and benefits totaled US$30.2 million, a 21.4% increase over salaries and benefits of US$24.9 million in the same period in 2007. This increase was mainly a result of an overall increase in operating headcount to support additional capacity.
Passenger servicing. Passenger servicing totaled US$22.3 million for 4Q08, a 17.2% increase over passenger servicing of US$19.0 million in 4Q07.  This increase was primarily the result of an increase in passengers carried.
Commissions. Commissions totaled US$11.8 million for 4Q08, a 7.8% decrease over commissions of US$12.8 million in 4Q07. This decrease was primarily a result of a lower average commission rate.
Reservations and sales. Reservations and sales totaled US$9.5 million, a 6.1% increase over reservation and sales of US$8.9 million in 4Q07.  This increase was primarily a result of more passengers carried.
Maintenance, materials and repairs. Maintenance, materials and repairs totaled US$14.9 million in 4Q08, a 35.8% increase over maintenance, materials and repairs of US$11.0 million in 4Q07. This increase resulted from higher capacity, and more repairs and materials.
Depreciation. Depreciation totaled US$10.2 million in 4Q08, a 19.5% increase over depreciation of US$8.6 million in 4Q07, primarily related to depreciation of new aircraft and spare parts.
Flight operations, aircraft rentals, landing fees and other rentals. Combined, flight operations, aircraft rentals, landing fees and other rentals increased 9.7% from US$23.2 million in 4Q07 to US$25.5 million in 4Q08, primarily as a result of increased capacity.
Other. Other expenses decreased a total of US$1.0 million from US$11.5 million in 4Q07 to US$10.5 million in 4Q08.

6


Aero Republica operating expenses
 
Aero Republica’s operating expenses decreased 13.8% to US$55.4 million in 4Q08 from US$64.2 million in 4Q07.  Operating expenses per available seat mile (CASM) decreased 16.6% to 13.7 cents in 4Q08 from 16.4 cents in 4Q07.  CASM, excluding fuel costs and special items, decreased 9.3% from 10.1 cents in 4Q07 to 9.2 cents in 4Q08, mainly due to lower average commission rates.

Non-operating income (expense)

Consolidated non-operating expenses totaled an expense of US$22.9 million in 4Q08, compared to a US$2.4 million expense in 4Q07.

Interest expense.  Interest expense totaled US$10.9 million in 4Q08, a 13.3% decrease over interest expense of US$12.6 million in 4Q07, primarily as a result of lower rates on variable rate debt.
Interest capitalized.  Interest capitalized totaled US$0.5 million in 4Q08, a 10.1% decrease over 4Q07.
Interest income. Interest income totaled US$2.9 million, a 14.8% decrease over interest income of US$3.4 million in 4Q07, mostly a result of lower rates.
Other, net.  Other net totaled a loss of US$15.4 million in 4Q08, mainly related to a US$12.2 million non-cash loss related to the mark-to-market of fuel hedge contracts, in addition to foreign exchange losses.

About Copa Holdings
Copa Holdings, through its Copa Airlines and Aero Republica operating subsidiaries, is a leading Latin American provider of international airline passenger and cargo service.  Copa Airlines currently offers approximately 144 daily scheduled flights to 45 destinations in 24 countries in North, Central and South America and the Caribbean.  In addition, Copa Airlines provides passengers with access to flights to more than 120 other international destinations through code share agreements with Continental Airlines and other airlines.  Aero Republica, the second-largest domestic carrier in Colombia, provides service to 12 cities in Colombia as well as international connectivity with Copa Airlines’ Hub of the Americas through flights from Bogota, Bucaramanga, Cali, Cartagena, Medellin and Pereira. Additionally, in May 2008, Aero Republica increased international service by launching direct daily flights to Caracas, Venezuela from the cities of Bogota and Medellin.
 
CONTACT: Copa Holdings S.A.
 
Investor Relations:
Ph: (507) 304-2677
www.copaair.com (IR section)
 
This release includes “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements are based on current plans, estimates and expectations, and are not guarantees of future performance. They are based on management’s expectations that involve a number of business risks and uncertainties, any of which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by the forward-looking statements. The Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement. The risks and uncertainties relating to the forward-looking statements in this release are among those disclosed in Copa Holdings’ filed disclosure documents and are, therefore, subject to change without prior notice.

 
7

 


Copa Holdings, S.A.                
Operating data                

   
Unaudited
   
Unaudited
   
%
   
Unaudited
   
%
   
Unaudited
   
Audited
   
%
 
   
4Q08
   
4Q07
   
Change
   
3Q08
   
Change
   
2008
   
2007
   
Change
 
                                                       
Copa Holdings (Consolidated)
                                                     
Revenue passengers carried (thousands)
    1,338       1,249       7.1 %     1,302       2.8 %     5,026       4,729       6.3 %
Revenue passengers miles (RPMs) (mm)
    1,760       1,524       15.5 %     1,779       -1.1 %     6,717       5,861       14.6 %
Available seat miles (ASMs) (mm)
    2,375       2,066       15.0 %     2,300       3.3 %     8,845       7,918       11.7 %
Load factor
    74.1 %     73.8 %  
0.3 p.p.
      77.3 %  
-3.3 p.p.
      75.9 %     74.0 %  
1.9 p.p.
 
Break-even load factor
    56.9 %     61.0 %  
-4.1 p.p.
      64.5 %  
-7.6 p.p.
      63.0 %     54.5 %  
8.5 p.p.
 
Yield (cents)
    18.5       17.5       6.0 %     18.6       -0.3 %     18.1       16.5       9.8 %
RASM (cents)
    14.6       13.8       5.8 %     15.2       -4.0 %     14.6       13.0       12.3 %
CASM (cents)
    11.0       11.7       -5.7 %     12.7       -13.1 %     12.0       10.5       14.9 %
Adj.CASM - excl. special charges and fuel (cents)
    7.2       7.6       -5.4 %     7.3       -1.2 %     7.5       7.1       4.6 %
Fuel gallons consumed (mm)
    33.4       29.5       13.1 %     32.4       2.9 %     125.1       112.5       11.2 %
Average price of Fuel - Net of Hedges (US$)
    2.73       2.61       4.5 %     3.81       -28.4 %     3.21       2.32       38.0 %
                                                                 
Copa Segment
                                                               
Revenue passengers miles (RPMs) (mm)
    1,503       1,276       17.8 %     1,536       -2.1 %     5,789       4,935       17.3 %
Available seat miles (ASMs) (mm)
    1,981       1,676       18.2 %     1,914       3.5 %     7,342       6,298       16.6 %
Load factor
    75.9 %     76.1 %  
-0.3 p.p.
      80.3 %  
77.3 p.p.
      78.8 %     78.4 %  
0.5 p.p.
 
Break-even load factor
    55.7 %     62.0 %  
-6.3 p.p.
      65.1 %  
-9.4 p.p.
      62.2 %     59.9 %  
2.3 p.p.
 
Yield (US$ cents)
    17.4       16.2       7.2 %     17.1       1.7 %     16.8       15.3       9.7 %
RASM (cents)
    14.1       13.3       6.2 %     14.6       -3.5 %     14.1       12.8       10.2 %
CASM (cents)
    10.5       10.7       -2.0 %     11.9       -11.7 %     11.3       10.1       12.0 %
Adj.CASM - excl. special charges and fuel (cents)
    6.8       7.2       -4.8 %     6.8       0.0 %     6.9       7.2       -3.0 %
Fuel gallons consumed (mm)
    26.9       22.9       17.5 %     26.2       3.0 %     100.3       85.5       17.3 %
Average price of Fuel - Net of Hedges (US$)
    2.72       2.56       6.2 %     3.69       -26.4 %     3.14       2.29       37.0 %
                                                                 
Aero Republica Segment
                                                               
Revenue passengers miles (RPMs) (mm)
    257       248       3.4 %     243       5.7 %     928       926       0.2 %
Available seat miles (ASMs) (mm)
    395       391       1.0 %     386       2.2 %     1,503       1,620       -7.3 %
Load factor
    65.0 %     63.5 %  
1.5 p.p.
      62.9 %  
77.3 p.p.
      61.7 %     57.2 %  
4.6 p.p.
 
Break-even load factor
    58.8 %     62.5 %  
-3.7 p.p.
      58.3 %  
77.3 p.p.
      61.4 %     54.1 %  
7.3 p.p.
 
Yield (cents)
    25.0       23.8       5.2 %     27.8       -10.0 %     26.3       22.7       15.7 %
RASM (cents)
    17.5       16.6       5.2 %     19.1       -8.6 %     17.6       13.9       26.4 %
CASM (cents)
    14.0       16.4       -14.6 %     17.6       -20.4 %     16.6       12.4       34.0 %
Adj.CASM - excl. special charges and fuel (cents)
    9.5       10.1       -6.1 %     10.6       -10.6 %     10.8       8.4       29.5 %
Fuel gallons consumed (mm)
    6.4       6.6       -2.3 %     6.3       2.7 %     24.8       27.0       -8.3 %
Average price of Fuel - Net of Hedges (US$)
    2.78       2.79       -0.5 %     4.32       -35.6 %     3.49       2.43       43.4 %

 
8

 


Copa Holdings, S.A.                            
Income Statement - USGAAP                            
(US$ Thousands)                            

   
Unaudited
   
Unaudited
   
%
   
Unaudited
   
%
   
Unaudited
   
Audited
   
%
 
   
4Q08
   
4Q07
   
Change
   
3Q08
   
Change
   
2008
   
2007
   
Change
 
Operating Revenues
                                                     
Passenger Revenue
    325,869       266,228       22.4 %     330,319       -1.3 %     1,217,331       967,066       25.9 %
Cargo, mail and other
    20,210       18,359       10.1 %     18,596       8.7 %     71,478       60,198       18.7 %
Total Operating Revenue
    346,079       284,587       21.6 %     348,915       -0.8 %     1,288,809       1,027,264       25.5 %
                                                                 
Operating Expenses
                                                               
Aircraft fuel
    91,408       78,400       16.6 %     124,678       -26.7 %     404,669       265,387       52.5 %
Salaries and benefits
    37,484       32,152       16.6 %     35,247       6.3 %     139,431       116,691       19.5 %
Passenger servicing
    26,280       23,052       14.0 %     25,885       1.5 %     98,775       82,948       19.1 %
Commissions
    14,779       18,488       -20.1 %     17,600       -16.0 %     67,158       65,930       1.9 %
Reservations and sales
    13,187       12,039       9.5 %     14,048       -6.1 %     54,996       48,229       14.0 %
Maintenance, material and repairs
    17,737       13,376       32.6 %     15,198       16.7 %     66,438       51,249       29.6 %
Depreciation
    11,326       9,821       15.3 %     11,132       1.7 %     42,891       35,328       21.4 %
Flight operations
    14,680       12,394       18.4 %     14,751       -0.5 %     56,425       43,958       28.4 %
Aircraft rentals
    10,078       9,692       4.0 %     10,245       -1.6 %     43,008       38,636       11.3 %
Landing fees and other rentals
    8,305       7,629       8.9 %     8,597       -3.4 %     32,467       27,017       20.2 %
Other
    16,768       18,253       -8.1 %     14,461       16.0 %     58,522       47,074       24.3 %
Special fleet charges
    0       6,300       -100.0 %     0               0       7,309       -100.0 %
Total Operating Expense
    262,032       241,596       8.5 %     291,842       -10.2 %     1,064,780       829,755       28.3 %
                                                                 
Operating Income
    84,047       42,991       95.5 %     57,073       47.3 %     224,028       197,509       13.4 %
                                                                 
Non-operating Income (Expense):
                                                               
Interest expense
    (10,891 )     (12,567 )     -13.3 %     (10,385 )     4.9 %     (42,071 )     (44,332 )     -5.1 %
Interest capitalized
    525       584       -10.1 %     391       34.3 %     1,921       2,570       -25.3 %
Interest income
    2,863       3,361       -14.8 %     2,903       -1.4 %     11,130       12,193       -8.7 %
Other, net
    (15,373 )     6,215       -347.4 %     (17,894 )     -14.1 %     (24,208 )     10,987       -320.3 %
Total Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
    (22,876 )     (2,407 )     850.4 %     (24,985 )     -8.4 %     (53,228 )     (18,582 )     186.4 %
                                                                 
Income before Income Taxes
    61,171       40,584       50.7 %     32,088       90.6 %     170,800       178,926       -4.5 %
                                                                 
Provision for Income Taxes
    9,253       5,058       82.9 %     1,745       430.3 %     18,609       17,106       8.8 %
                                                                 
Net Income
    51,918       35,526       46.1 %     30,343       71.1 %     152,191       161,820       -6.0 %
                                                                 
Basic EPS
    1.20       0.83       45.3 %     0.70       71.1 %     3.53       3.77       -6.5 %
Basic Shares
    43,194,566       42,937,844       0.6 %     43,194,566       0.0 %     43,142,515       42,907,967       0.5 %
                                                                 
Diluted EPS
    1.20       0.82       46.1 %     0.70       71.4 %     3.50       3.72       -5.9 %
Diluted Shares
    43,425,896       43,401,305       0.1 %     43,490,728       -0.1 %     43,439,879       43,463,759       -0.1 %

 
9

 


Copa Holdings, S.A.            
Balance Sheet - USGAAP          
(US$ Thousands)

   
December 31,
   
September 30,
   
December 31,
 
   
2008
   
2008
   
2007
 
   
(Unaudited)
   
(Unaudited)
   
(Audited)
 
ASSETS
                 
Current Assets:
                 
Cash and cash equivalents
  $ 224,023     $ 200,272     $ 285,858  
Short-term investments
    168,556       152,942       22,500  
Total cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments
    392,579       353,214       308,358  
                         
Accounts receivable, net of allowance for doubtful accounts
    70,520       103,362       73,389  
Accounts receivable from related parties
    4,591       1,710       780  
Expendable parts and supplies, net of allowance for obsolescence
    18,405       17,167       14,088  
Prepaid expenses
    26,694       26,689       25,574  
Other current assets
    5,337       8,954       13,547  
Total Current Assets
    518,126       511,096       435,736  
                         
Long-term investments
    15,477       23,055       17,038  
                         
Property and Equipment:
                       
Owned property and equipment:
                       
Flight equipment
    1,372,352       1,309,928       1,188,641  
Other equipment
    55,291       53,406       50,909  
      1,427,643       1,363,334       1,239,550  
Less: Accumulated depreciation
    (174,835 )     (164,820 )     (137,367 )
      1,252,808       1,198,514       1,102,183  
Purchase deposits for flight equipment
    84,861       68,738       64,079  
Total Property and Equipment
    1,337,669       1,267,252       1,166,262  
                         
Other Assets:
                       
Net pension asset
    1,486       1,463       1,034  
Goodwill
    21,732       22,421       24,201  
Intangible asset
    31,865       32,876       35,484  
Other assets
    27,866       30,811       27,496  
Total Other Assets
    82,949       87,571       88,215  
Total Assets
  $ 1,954,221     $ 1,888,974     $ 1,707,251  
                         
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDER'S EQUITY
                       
Current Liabilities:
                       
Current maturities of long-term debt
  $ 115,833     $ 119,150     $ 110,658  
Accounts payable
    54,120       56,030       57,468  
Accounts payable to related parties
    11,510       8,453       10,824  
Air traffic liability
    183,174       214,641       153,422  
Taxes and interest payable
    38,475       39,437       36,644  
Accrued expenses payable
    40,481       44,966       52,233  
Other current liabilities
    59,597       15,453       3,740  
Total Current Liabilities
    503,190       498,130       424,989  
                         
Non-Current Liabilities:
                       
Long-term debt
    800,196       762,977       732,209  
Post employment benefits liability
    2,072       1,846       1,894  
Other long-term liabilities
    8,694       9,625       9,775  
Deferred tax liabilities
    8,747       6,280       6,747  
Total Non-Current Liabilities
    819,709       780,728       750,625  
                         
Total Liabilities
    1,322,899       1,278,858       1,175,614  
                         
Shareholders' Equity:
                       
Class A - 31,031,129 shares issued and 30,416,141 shares outstanding
    20,761       20,761       20,586  
Class B - 12,778,125 shares issued and outstanding
    8,722       8,722       8,722  
Additional paid in capital
    13,481       12,299       8,064  
Retained earnings
    627,535       575,666       491,599  
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
    (39,177 )     (7,332 )     2,666  
Total Shareholders' Equity
    631,322       610,116       531,637  
Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity
  $ 1,954,221     $ 1,888,974     $ 1,707,251  
 
 
10

 


Copa Holdings, S.A.
 
NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURE RECONCILIATION

This press release includes the following non GAAP financial measures: Adjusted CASM, Adjusted CASM Excluding Fuel, Adjusted EBITDAR, Adjusted Operating Income, Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EPS.   This supplemental information is presented because we believe they are useful indicators of our operating performance and are useful in comparing our performance with other companies in the airline industry. These measures should not be considered in isolation, and should be considered together with comparable US GAAP measures, in particular operating income and net income. The following is a reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the comparable US GAAP measures:

Reconciliation of EBITDAR
                             
Excluding Special Items
   
4Q08
     
4Q07
     
3Q08
   
2008
   
2007
 
                                     
Net income as Reported
  $ 51,918     $ 35,526     $ 30,343     $ 152,191     $ 161,820  
                                         
Interest Expense
    (10,891 )     (12,567 )     (10,385 )     (42,071 )     (44,332 )
Capitalized Interest
    525       584       391       1,921       2,570  
Interest Income
    2,863       3,361       2,903       11,130       12,193  
Income Taxes
    (9,253 )     (5,058 )     (1,745 )     (18,609 )     (17,106 )
EBIT
    68,674       49,206       39,179       199,820       208,495  
                                         
Depreciation and Amortization
    11,326       9,821       11,132       42,891       35,328  
EBITDA
    80,000       59,027       50,311       242,711       243,823  
                                         
Aircraft Rent
    10,078       9,692       10,245       43,008       38,636  
Other Rentals
    3,873       3,461       3,341       15,293       11,536  
EBITDAR
  $ 93,951     $ 72,180     $ 63,897     $ 301,013     $ 293,995  
                                         
Special Items (adjustments):
                                       
Unrealized (gain) loss on fuel hedging instruments (1)
    12,160       (4,932 )     15,479       20,175       (9,095 )
Special Items (2)
              6,300       -       -       (710 )
Adjusted EBITDAR
  $ 106,112     $ 73,547     $ 79,376     $ 321,188     $ 284,191  

Reconciliation of Operating Income
                             
Excluding Special Items
   
4Q08
     
4Q07
     
3Q08
   
2008
   
2007
 
                                     
Operating Income as Reported
  $ 84,047     $ 42,991     $ 57,073     $ 224,028     $ 197,509  
                                         
Special Items (adjustments):
                                       
Special Items, net (2)
    -       6,300       -       -       (710 )
Adjusted Operating Income
  $ 84,047     $ 49,291     $ 57,073     $ 224,028     $ 196,799  

 
11

 


Reconciliation of Net Income
                             
Excluding Special Items
   
4Q08
     
4Q07
     
3Q08
   
2008
   
2007
 
                                     
Net income as Reported
  $ 51,918     $ 35,526     $ 30,343     $ 152,191     $ 161,820  
                                         
Special Items (adjustments):
                                       
Unrealized (gain) loss on fuel hedging instruments (1)
    12,160       (4,932 )     15,479       20,175       (9,095 )
Special Items, net (2)
              6,300       -       -       (710 )
Adjusted Net Income
  $ 64,078     $ 36,893     $ 45,822     $ 172,366     $ 152,016  
                                         
Shares used for Computation (in thousands)
                                       
Basic
    43,195       42,985       43,195       43,143       42,908  
Diluted
    43,426       43,433       43,491       43,440       43,464  
                                         
Adjusted earnings per share
                                       
Basic
    1.48       0.86       1.06       4.00       3.54  
Diluted
    1.48       0.85       1.05       3.97       3.50  

Reconciliation Operating Costs per ASM
                             
Excluding Fuel and Special Items
   
4Q08
     
4Q07
     
3Q08
   
2008
   
2007
 
                                     
Operating Costs per ASM as Reported
    11.0       11.7       12.7       12.0       10.5  
Aircraft fuel per ASM
    3.8       3.8       5.4       4.6       3.4  
Operating Costs per ASM excluding fuel
    7.2       7.9       7.3       7.5       7.1  
Special Items (adjustments):
                                       
Special Items per ASM, net (2)
    -       (0.3 )     -       -       0.0  
Operating expenses excluding fuel and special items
    7.2       7.6       7.3       7.5       7.1  

FOOTNOTES:
(1)
Include unrealized (gains) losses resulting from the mark-to-market accounting for changes in the fair value of fuel hedging instruments.  For 4Q08, 3Q08 and full year 2008 the Company recorded unrealized fuel hedge losses of US$12.2 million, US$15.5 million and US$20.2 million, respectively. For 4Q07 and full year 2007 the Company recorded unrealized fuel hedge gains of US$4.9 million and US$9.1 million, respectively.
(2)
Special items include for the 4Q07 period a US$6.3 million special charge related to the early termination of MD-80 aircraft leases, as a result of Aero Republica’s ongoing transition to an all EMBRAER-190 fleet. Special items include for full year 2007 include a US$8.0 million non-recurring gain related to insurance proceeds in excess of aircraft book value and a US$7.3 million special charge related to the early termination of MD-80 aircraft leases, as a result of Aero Republica’s ongoing transition to an all EMBRAER-190 fleet.

 
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